Minimalists
Two days ago, was posted on the "land" translated article (originally Economist ") entitled" Is replaced by a computer? Wave that threatens ce thales to drown the workers in the world ", during which surveyed a growing trend of replacing human labor mechanized labor. We are opening quotation from John Maynard Keynes, ce thales himself, who already in 1930 expressed concern M"abtlh technology ", and later brought to the statements of the experts of our time, the contracts that within two decades the machines will take over 47% of the employment market ( Among the subjects that are high danger: telemarketers, accountants, economists commercial Tisiim). The speakers are distinguished professors from leading universities, and the story is accompanied by, among other things, a picture of Bremen robotic bartender ce thales drink.
When I read the article I could not remember a very successful ce thales book I keep my luggage since my childhood, "space colonies - the next leap" by Frederic Golden and Oved (Dan the Saver Library). ce thales The book, published in 1977, provides a broad overview of developments in the area of settlement space (alias settlers in the book is the way "settlers in space", the attention of the "Jewish Home" and the case outlined by Kerry indeed signed), and it boasts experts ce thales world-renowned, physicists recognized, ce thales and engineers Agency National ce thales Space Research (NASA), by which the author seeks to present a fascinating schedule space settlement process, appear to you in a few pictures. If you jump the gun and consider only the last lines, we are a significant delay on earth.
If you rely on the conjecture of the author of the featured experts, in 2014 we were supposed to be in the midst of a massive construction boom in space, but now, when the world powers almost entirely curdling adventure in their space, we never seemed more hardly solved the problems of our real estate through copying three-room ce thales apartment where we lived on Mars. How is it, then, that all the experts (you can not blame spokesman book sleepwalking optimistic or dementia mind), on their calculations are complex and plans seemingly be applicable, were wrong in what can be assessed today care of thousand long years, and is the same way it can be argued that the books of them Experts predict that within ce thales two decades will be replaced Half of the world through the machines, will appear in fifty years amusing anecdotes on posts of other writers.
Motivation - author of "space colonies" relies on two precedents achievements ce thales settlement when he came to write about space. First, the rapid development of the aircraft - only in 1903 the Wright brothers were able to hover for a few seconds the first time, and decades later commercial ce thales flights have become an accepted, common matter. Second, the fastest race into space spread through most of the twentieth century - was launched only in 1957 first man-made satellite, "Sputnik 1", ce thales and Traisr years later, Neil Armstrong step has been the first human footsteps on the moon. There is no doubt that the burst of cosmic optimism about space colonies was only a matter of time. But reliance on these precedents was wrong, because ce thales the significant scientific breakthroughs have been achieved through the greatest Hmotibitzih - war. World War II, and of course, the Cold War. Amazing what a resourceful and budgets are directed to the development of innovative tools with world domination (or in the entire universe) lies on the line. Respectively, It is fair to assume that the most significant developments in the field of robotics in the future, will be part of the war.
Cost - Development of new machines which will replace skilled workers (more or less) depends on the cost-benefit ratios are present for future buyers, and below, the capitalists. When evaluating how a capital produces its profits, Marx discovered that the space created by the gap between the value of those earning salaries of employees, and which are designed to support livelihoods, and the value that they produce during long hours. In fact, Marx argued, in order to support his family, a worker might work six hours a day, but signing an agreement to work with his employer, is committed to longer hours, and therefore create higher value than it is getting, and the "excess profits". However, when the owner of capital will seek to replace workers with machines, then it will lose its major source of income, because ce thales for a machine that produces a value of $ 10,000, would have to pay capital has almost the same amount. In the capitalist world Haydili of Marx, which is only achieved through bargaining, and whatever the value of a machine for a capital, he will pay the full value from the beginning. Profit, according Dmrks, achieved only by taking advantage of the non-paid hours of the workers.
Even those who agree with the guidelines of the Marxist theory, can understand that the cost of development and maintenance of the robot cleans houses for example (one that can wash dishes, scrub floors, make dust, arrange wardrobes etc.), vastly exceeds the ability to hire cheap labor position. For example, are the things the article itself:
"Automation is not always better. David Otero, an economist at MIT, wrote a study in 2013 that do not necessarily want to automate any job - is important to note the relative cost. When Nissan produces cars in Japan, he notes, is based mainly on the robots. Plant in India, however, the company uses local manpower. Even when the machines can be found in improving ce thales skilled manpower often cheaper. Since the 80s the workers in the US and elsewhere do not compete only in machinery, but cheaper manpower ".
Demand - and, of course, without the requirement from the market could be no real progress. Author of "space colonies" was based on the assumption that the settlement will resolve in a variety of acute problems, such as population density, filling reservoirs of energy and natural resources, environmental issues and more, however, also four decade
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